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Help with PCR results

Hi,

 

Could anyone shed any light on my results so far.  I was dx Oct 29th 09 with wbc of 350,000 and started glivec on Nov 29th after getting my wbc down to 33,000 on Hydroxurea.

I have just had my results back last month (took a while to get them off my Oncs secretary) and it says that in Oct 29th I was 68.9% BCR-ABL Mar 30th 2010 I was 1.40% BCR-ABL yet the results say > 0.5 log decrease.  This seems wrong or not very accurate to me as I thought you worked log reduction out by (latest) / (previous) and log the result. So in my case it should be 1.40 divided by 68.9 =0.02, log(0.02) = -1.69 so 1.69 log reduction.  Is this correct?

Confused but at least it is reducing and going in the right direction!

Ian

Hi Ian... it is always confusing and after 12 years I still suffer! I think that it is only useful to talk about log reductions on a molecular level... i.e not when calculating how big a cytogenetic response you have had.

if you were 68.9- let's say 70% - bcr/abl at diagnosis then really you could probably say that you were more or less 100% PH+. you are now 1.40% bcr/abl which, according to the European Leukaemia Net guidlines for molecular monitoring, means that you are just about at the level where you would be deemed PH negative. Currently the cut-off is 1 to 1.5% bcr/abl

So according to how I understand the nomenclature you have achieved a Complete Cytogenetic Response or CCyR within 3-4 months which is GREAT and represents an 'optimal' response.

Log reductions would now be the calculation that would kick in. i.e if you are at

1.40% now and your next pcr shows

0.14  then that would represent a 1 log reduction

0.014 would be 2 log

0.0014 would be 3 log etc etc until you reach bcr/abl Undetectable or as many patients call it PCRu

Of course I might be totally wrong but this is the way I have understood the usefulenss of using log reduction as a measurement.

It was first used in the IRIS trial to measure responses against the pre therapy bcr/abl levels of 30 patients who were part of that trial. It seems to have stuck with us as a measurement although it is not really applicable now as all the original samples of those 30 patients have long been used up.

Hope this is helpful and not even more confusing.

Sandy

Sandy,

 

Much appreciated, its just my Onc didn't sound too excited, but I was! Not sure he understands the maths, he just said he was more interested in 12-24 months of data and a downward trend which is fair enough as it is a marathon not a sprint...

I just wanted something positive to get hold of and was underwhelmed by his response as I thought going from 68.9 to 1.4 was quite an achievement and maintaining a WBC of 7.6 and also not being anaemic anymore.

Hopefully he will be more excitable after my next results which I have bloods taken for next Monday. So four weeks to wait to see if the pattern is continuing, everything crossed!

Once again thanks for the hard work/effort you put in and sincerity/sympathy you show, you deserve a knighthood...

Ian 

Just to take slight issue with Sandy's comments, whilst I would agree that the log reductions only come into their own once you hit CCR and that before then the %Ph+ from cytogenetics / FISH is the more importnat number to focus on, the log reductions should always be calculated against the value at diagnosis (either your own or the lab standard), not against the value when you hit CCR.

Whilst you could use any start point for monitoring trends log reductions against this baseline are the numbers that everybody gnerally uses and one of the key prognostic indicators 'Major Molecular Response' is defined as a 3 log reduction from the levels at diagnosisCongratulations on your test results.  My guess is that it's just a typo on the log reduction and meant to say '>1.5 log' not 0.5

All the best

Phil

Phil... thanks for making the clarification on which value on which to base the log reduction

Ian... of course you should be happy with your result- VERY happy.

Sandy

So what you are saying is

68.9 = 0 Log (Baseline)

6.89 = 1 log

1.4 = > 1.5 log

0.689 = 2 log

0.0689 = 3 log

This is what I thought. Will ask my Onc on Monday and see what he says.

Many thanks

Ian

Those are indeed the right numbers for log reductions based on your personal baseline.  You may well find, however, that the lab reports log reductions against its own average baseline (based on the famous 30 IRIS patients).  If the lab uses the International Scale (IS) then the numbers become

100% = 0 Log (Baseline)

10% = 1 log

1% = 2 log

0.1% = 3 log

If, on the other hand, your doctor is using one of those labs that haven't switched to IS then it could vary quite significantly from that.  In your shoes I'd ask your onc whether the lab is reporting on IS and if not then what do they consider to be an MMR.

All that though is just trimmings.  The key thing is that you are heading in the right direction and you are getting there at a good speed.

and I suspect they are on International.  They send the results back to Haywards Heath where I live.

I have had cases of contaminated blood samples as they sent them during the mail strike first class ?!?! Now they courier them up...

Think the next set are key as they will set the trend and hopefully confirm it is continuing down.

Cheers

Ian

and I suspect they are on International.  They send the results back to Haywards Heath where I live.

I have had cases of contaminated blood samples as they sent them during the mail strike first class ?!?! Now they courier them up...

Think the next set are key as they will set the trend and hopefully confirm it is continuing down.

Cheers

Ian

Hi Ian

I see Paul at Haywards Heath too and attend King's sometimes. I now go to see Kings every 6 months and Paul deals with the PCR draws in between. Had one done on 2st June and will e-mail Janey Haydon at kings for my results next week. I've also had 1 ruined draw without the mail strike :(. I was dx back in Oct 05 and my last PCR was 0.024 - I was told not to worry about log reductions by Proff Mufti about a year ago as long as I got to 0.05 and was able to maintain it.

 

Maybe our appointments will coincide at the Princess Royal one day.

Take care

Marian

Hi all just updating you with my latest PCR results.  Had a BMB today as my onc said it was now a standard to have one after 3 months but the standard only just came in so he is playing catch up!

Dx Oct 28th 2009, started Glivec Nov 29 2009

Nov 29 2009: 68.23%

Mar 31 2010: 1.23%

Jun 14 2010: 0.82%

Aug 10 2010: 0.2%

So heading in the right direction after just over 8 months I think...

Next appointment Nov 29 2010 and will keep you all informed hopefully get to 0.068% by then and hit the magic 3 log, everything crossed :) then need to maintain it but will be a good place to be at...

Thank you all for a really helpful, informative site very very much appreciated.

Ian

YAHOOO!!!   YIPPEEE!!!

Number 1347 in the Zero Club

Zavie

 

zmiller@sympatico.ca

I have just had my results back form my Nov 23rd PCR test and it seems it has gone up to 0.436 from 0.293.  There are numerous reasons for this I believe, bad sample, the previous reading being incorrect, etc so I am pragmatic enough to wait for my next set of results to see where the trend lies.

I was hoping for an extra 0 this xmas, maybe the new year will bring that...

On a more positive note I had a BMB and it came back negative so have no leukemic cells in the bone marrow.

One question, what does the assy sensitivity mean on the PCR test I have at Kings? It seems to be different every time and started at around 3.5, then 3.6, then 1.4, then 2.8 then 3.8 for the latest one.  I was wondering if this may effect the reading?

Anyway happy xmas all and I am happy to be where I am compared to where I was last xmas :)

I have another appointment in Feb so see what my onc has to say/advise.

Ian Hinley

Thats a great BMB result,please remember you bone marrow cells are all new young cells,I would think of it as a latest news upbate.

The cells in your blood however can be up to 3 months old ,I would think of it as yesterdays news waiting for a update.Have a Great Christmas Ian you have come a long way and your doing great.

Hi

I have just recieved my latest BCR/ABL results from Kings. After 2.5 years of reduction I seem to have hit a plateau.

June 2010.. 0.029%.  Sept 2010. 0.036% . Dec 2010  0.037%. I am on 400mg Glivec. I feel very well, so if this continued I will be happy.  Where is my club number Zavie?

merry Christmas to you all.

Tony

Hopefully the trend will be my friend and the BMB is signalling a greater reduction in the future months, years :)