Hi Nigel,
most people should expect to wait 4-6 weeks in general for PCR results. That might be less for privately treated patients.
Regarding 'how low is a low enough' response at 3 months. The current ELNet and other guidelines are that for an you should expect to see a reduction from base line Ph+ (say 100% at diagnosis).
Preferably you want an optimal response but that does not mean you have to see that- it is a general guideline and you must remember that one size does not fit all. It might be that some indviduals take longer to see such optimal responses.
The 10% figure you are reading about must be taken in the context of the recent meeting at HH where Prof. Goldman was asked specifically for his veiw on one case.
As I was not present at that meeting I cannot interpret or contextualise his comments but I would urge that they do not be taken out of context.
I believe this figure is taken from new research (Marin et al) and is really to do with whether to treat from the outset with 2nd generation drugs to see an optimal response. This does not mean that those who are currently treated with imatinib are doomed if they do not exhibit 'optimal' cytogenetic responses or take longer than the general guideline to do so.
I also suggest that you might take time to read the CML FAQ then the sub-section on testing.....I have recently uploaded the ELNet guidelines produced in patient friendly version by a CML work group.... see a snippet below.
At 3 months the current (2009) ELNet guidelines indicate an optimal response to 400mg imatinib would be
CHR - complete haematological response AND a ratio of < (less than) 66% Ph+ cells to normal cells.
At 6 months, optimal response is considered to be < 36% ratio of Ph+ cells.
at 12 months, CCyR (complete cytogenetic response) i.e ratio < 1.5- 2% Ph+ cells
then ongoing Major Molecular Response (MMR) towards 3 log reduction (0.003%) which is deemed to be CMR (complete) on the International Scale.
I understand that the ELNet guidelines are due to be updated in July this year.
I hope this doesn't confuse further. Good luck with your consultation.
Sandy